A McKinsey Global Institute report projects that artificial intelligence and automation will reshape US jobs by 2035. Demand for about 36 million roles could fall while growth elsewhere creates around 41 million new positions. The core challenge is mobility rather than a shortage of work. In the base case, roughly 11 million workers, about 7 percent of the workforce, or one in 14, may need to leave their current occupations entirely. The range runs from 6 million to 16 million depending on how fast technology is adopted. About 770,000 workers a year may have to switch into completely different occupations, roughly 3.6 times the historical average. Lower-wage workers are 7.6 times more likely than higher-wage workers to face a full career change. Declining demand is concentrated in office support, retail, and transportation, while growth is expected in healthcare, construction, and management.
A McKinsey Global Institute report projects that artificial intelligence and automation will reshape US jobs by 2035. Demand for about 36 million roles could fall while growth elsewhere creates around 41 million new positions. The core challenge is mobility rather than a shortage of work. In the base case, roughly 11 million workers, about 7 percent of the workforce, or one in 14, may need to leave their current occupations entirely. The range runs from 6 million to 16 million depending on how fast technology is adopted. About 770,000 workers a year may have to switch into completely different occupations, roughly 3.6 times the historical average. Lower-wage workers are 7.6 times more likely than higher-wage workers to face a full career change. Declining demand is concentrated in office support, retail, and transportation, while growth is expected in healthcare, construction, and management.